florida weather

Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen has become Subtropical Storm Nestor as it moves over the Gulf of Mexico and toward Florida. Tropical storm conditions and a life-threatening storm surge are forecast to reach coastal areas of the panhandle and west-central Florida by Friday evening.

Get the latest weather updates and forecast 

The veritable assembly line of tropical systems in the Atlantic spat out something new for South Florida to watch this week — tropical depression ten.

The system, which forecasters at the National Hurricane Center expect to strengthen into a tropical storm named Jerry by Tuesday night, is still a good thousand miles east of the Leeward Islands. It could be a hurricane as soon as Friday.

A strong tropical wave over the southeast Bahamas is on track to become a tropical depression by Friday, and potentially Tropical Storm Humberto over the weekend.

The National Hurricane Center has increased the chances of tropical cyclone development to 70% over the next two days and 80% over the next five days. The tropical wave could develop anywhere from the eastern Gulf of Mexico to the western Atlantic based on its 2 pm tropical outlook.

National hurricane center

With Dorian no longer a hurricane and Tropical Storm Gabrielle in the middle of the Atlantic Ocean, the National Hurricane Center turned its attention to two more potential tropical storms moseying across the Atlantic.

The hunk of weather that’s closer to South Florida is still hundreds of miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands.

Tropical Storm Dorian strengthened slightly overnight as it approaches Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. Top sustained winds are near 60 mph as of the 5 am update from the National Hurricane Center. 

The National Hurricane Center now forecasts Tropical Storm Dorian to become a hurricane prior to landfall in Florida Sunday.

In their 11 pm update Tuesday, forecasters expressed a notable increase in confidence that Dorian would intensify over the warm Atlantic waters east of the Bahamas Friday, before turning west toward the peninsula over the weekend. This was despite the possibility that Tropical Storm Dorian weakens some Wednesday and Thursday from land interactions with the island of Puerto Rico.

 

National Hurricane Center

Tropical Storm Dorian’s strength is steadily increasing, and forecasters say it may become a hurricane.

The storm is approaching the Windward Islands Monday and has maximum sustained winds of up to 60 miles per hour, according to the National Hurricane Center. The storm is moving west at 14 miles per hour.

A tropical storm warning is in effect for Barbados, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines.

Read more at our news partner the Miami Herald.

The most active part of the hurricane season are the months of August, September, and October. In this “State of the Season” report, we will assess trends in atmospheric and oceanic conditions around the globe that may lend clues on how the waters could behave over the next few weeks.

The Season So Far

Update 5:00 PM Monday: The season’s third tropical depression has formed between the Bahamas and Florida.

The National Hurricane Center says it’s located about 120 miles southeast of West Palm Beach as of the 5 PM advisory. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph. The depression is moving toward the northwest at 13 mph.

The depression is not forecast to reach tropical storm status. There are no changes to the forecast of locally heavy rain and gusty winds outlined in the 3 PM update below.

Florida’s Division of Emergency Management is bracing for the potential growth of a storm system expected to move south into the Gulf of Mexico later this week, with particular attention given to Panhandle counties impacted by Hurricane Michael last year.

Heavy rain and potential flooding is in the forecast this week across parts of Florida, and a tropical storm might even form nearby.

Regardless of its tropical status, several inches of rain are likely to fall near Florida’s Gulf Coast this week. Nearby seas will also grow unsettled, with minor coastal flooding and multiple beach hazards expected.

Florida Had Hottest May In More Than A Century

Jun 7, 2019

If last month felt hotter than normal, there's a reason. 

Thunderstorms capable of producing minor wind damage, or even an isolated tornado, are possible across the Florida peninsula today.

The weather is fooling many Floridians today, and it's not just a mean joke. A strong cold front has moved into the Sunshine State, producing rain and dropping temperatures by nearly twenty degrees in some places. As of Monday morning, the front was located just north of the I-4 corridor where the contrast between conditions on both sides was very evident.

JOE RIMKUS JR / Miami Herald Archive

As rainy weather and cooler temperatures approach South Florida, so will dangerous rip currents meteorologists say.

According to the National Weather Service, a severe rip current warning will be in effect from Tuesday to Thursday.

The advisory, which will occur during most students’ spring break, will affect any beach along the east coast from the Florida Keys all the way up to the West Palm area.

Read more at our news partner, the Miami Herald

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