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The rapidly expanding storm struck Western Cuba and is expected to hit Louisiana on Sunday as a major hurricane.
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The strong tropical wave over the western Caribbean is now Tropical Depression 9. It is forecast to become a hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico this weekend and pose a significant risk to the central Gulf coast late in the weekend.
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FEMA Administrator Deanne Criswell took over the agency in April, just before another above average hurricane season forecast and the start of another record wildfire season.
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The U.S. Geological Survey has already recorded several magnitude-5 aftershocks and hundreds of landslides.
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Tropical Depression Grace no longer appears to be a threat to Florida, while potential tropical storm Henri will pass south of Bermuda during the next few days.
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Hazards such as heavy rain, potential flooding and possible tornadoes are still expected in south and southwest Florida, including the Keys and greater Miami from Fred.
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Tropical Depression Fred is expected to regain tropical storm strength by the time it approaches Southwest Florida Friday night, and a Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for the Gulf Coast from Bonita Beach south to the Florida Bay, including the entire Florida Keys.
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The disturbance in the northeast Caribbean was upgraded to Tropical Storm Fred late Tuesday evening just south of Puerto Rico. The storm has the potential to affect a large portion of Florida this weekend with heavy rain and high winds, although the magnitude, location and timing of those impacts are still uncertain.
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One of the potential developments is likely to be approaching Puerto Rico Tuesday, then the Florida Straits or Bahamas by week's end.
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A largely quiet tropical Atlantic over the past three weeks may soon change in response to changes in the atmosphere over the global tropics.
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An active season is still the most likely outcome when the 2021 Hurricane Season comes to a close according NOAA's updated seasonal forecast.
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The ongoing pandemic has again complicated emergency planning for hurricane season in South Florida, with emergency managers planning to separate shelter evacuees and provide more space even as they worry people will ignore orders over COVID-19 fears.