Monroe schools close, storm watch edges into Palm Beach County as Hurricane Ian intensifies

All Monroe County public schools and district offices will be closed on Tuesday, as local officials urge residents in the Keys to prepare for damaging wind gusts and storm surge from Hurricane Ian.

As of early Monday evening, the storm's forecast cone had shifted slightly east, putting the northern edge of Palm Beach County under tropical storm watch while bands of heavy rain already started to lash South Florida.

The storm continued to intensify as it approached Cuba on a track towards the Gulf Coast of Florida. The National Hurricane Center's 5 p.m. update confirmed it had reached Category 2 status, with sustained winds of up to 100 mph.

"Conditions in Western Cuba to deteriorate this evening and tonight with significant wind and storm surge impacts expected," the advisory warned. Once it clears the island, the storm could reach Category 4, with top winds of 140 mph, over the warm Gulf of Mexico waters.

Ahead of its projected impact later this week in the Big Bend, Hurricane Ian is expected to bring strong winds, flooding, and even isolated tornadoes to South Florida over the next two or three days.

As of Monday evening, a tropical storm warning was in effect for the Lower Keys and a tropical storm watch was in effect for the Middle Keys. A storm surge watch is in effect for all of the Keys. Forecasters expect the island chain could begin experiencing tropical storm force winds as soon as Tuesday morning.

According to Monroe County Emergency Management, the worst of the storm surge in the Keys is expected to hit “well after” the center of the storm passes by the island chain and into the Gulf of Mexico. Coastal flooding on the bayside of the Upper Keys could continue into Friday.

District officials in Monroe County say they’ll decide on Tuesday whether the county’s public schools will remain closed on Wednesday.

While the storm remains on course to impact the Gulf Coast of Florida between Wednesday and Thursday, its forecast cone shifted slightly Monday afternoon. This extended the tropical storm watch area as far south as Jupiter Inlet, on the east coast, and Lake Okeechobee.

Meteorologist Justin Ballard, of the Florida Public Radio Emergency Network, says the entire state needs to be prepared for hurricane-force winds, flooding, and even the risk for tornadoes.

"A major Hurricane Ian is expected to make landfall tomorrow morning in western Cuba. From there, Ian will bring significant impact to the Gulf Coast area from the Big Bend to the Keys," Ballard said.

"It is crucial to finish preparations ahead of Ian's arrival before tomorrow, as rain bands are expected to bring strong winds, flooding, and even tornadoes to Central and South Florida more than 24 hours before its projected landfall."

He added that for South Florida, flooding will be the main risk over the next two to three days, with a few tornadoes also possible tomorrow through Wednesday.

Cuba, Tampa and St Petersburg brace for 'the real deal'

As of Monday, Tampa and St. Petersburg appeared to be the among the most likely targets for their first direct hit by a major hurricane since 1921.

“Please treat this storm seriously. It’s the real deal. This is not a drill,” Hillsborough County Emergency Management Director Timothy Dudley said at a news conference on storm preparations in Tampa.

Authorities in Cuba were evacuating 50,000 people in Pinar del Rio province, sent in medical and emergency personnel, and took steps to protect food and other crops in warehouses, according to state media.

“Cuba is expecting extreme hurricane-force winds, also life-threatening storm surge and heavy rainfall,” U.S. National Hurricane Center senior specialist Daniel Brown told The Associated Press.

The hurricane center predicted areas of Cuba’s western coast could see as much as 14 feet (4.3 meters) of storm surge Monday night or early Tuesday.

In Havana, fishermen were taking their boats out of the water along the famous Malecon, the seaside boardwalk, and city workers were unclogging storm drains ahead of the expected rain.

Havana resident Adyz Ladron, 35, said the potential for rising water from the storm worries him.

"I am very scared because my house gets completely flooded, with water up to here,” he said, pointing to his chest.

NOAA

In Havana’s El Fanguito, a poor neighborhood near the Almendares River, residents were packing up what they could to leave their homes, many of which show damage from previous storms.

“I hope we escape this one because it would be the end of us. We already have so little,” health worker Abel Rodrigues, 54, said.

On Monday afternoon, Ian was moving northwest at 13 mph (20 km/h), about 155 miles (250 kilometers) southeast of the western tip of Cuba, with top sustained winds increasing to 100 mph (155 km/h).

The center of the hurricane passed to the west of the Cayman Islands, but no major damage was reported there Monday, and residents were going back into the streets as the winds died down.

“We seem to have dodged the bullet” Grand Cayman resident Gary Hollins said. “I am a happy camper.”

Ian won't linger over Cuba but will slow down over the Gulf of Mexico, growing wider and stronger, "which will have the potential to produce significant wind and storm surge impacts along the west coast of Florida,” the hurricane center said.

A surge of up to 10 feet (3 meters) of ocean water and 10 inches (25 centimeters) of rain was predicted across the Tampa Bay area, with as much as 15 inches (38 centimeters) inches in isolated areas. That's enough water to inundate coastal communities.

As many as 300,000 people may be evacuated from low-lying areas in Hillsborough County alone, county administrator Bonnie Wise said. Some of those evacuations were beginning Monday afternoon in the most vulnerable areas, with schools and other locations opening as shelters.

“We must do everything we can to protect our residents. Time is of the essence,” Wise said.

Floridians lined up for hours in Tampa to collect bags of sand and cleared store shelves of bottled water. Gov. Ron DeSantis declared a statewide emergency and warned that Ian could lash large areas of the state, knocking out power and interrupting fuel supplies as it swirls northward off the state’s Gulf Coast.

“You have a significant storm that may end up being a Category 4 hurricane," DeSantis said at a news conference. "That’s going to cause a huge amount of storm surge. You’re going to have flood events. You’re going to have a lot of different impacts.”

DeSantis said the state has suspended tolls around the Tampa Bay area and mobilized 5,000 Florida state national guard troops, with another 2,000 on standby in neighboring states.

President Joe Biden also declared an emergency, authorizing the Department of Homeland Security and the Federal Emergency Management Agency to coordinate disaster relief and provide assistance to protect lives and property. The president postponed a scheduled Tuesday trip to Florida because of the storm.

Playing it safe, NASA planned to slowly roll its moon rocket from the launch pad to its Kennedy Space Center hangar, adding weeks of delay to the test flight.

Flash flooding was predicted for much of the Florida peninsula, and heavy rainfall was possible for the southeast United States later this week. With tropical storm force winds extending 115 miles (185 kilometers) from Ian's center, watches covered the Florida Keys to Lake Okeechobee.

Bob Gualtieri, sheriff of Pinellas County, Florida, which includes St. Petersburg, said in a briefing that although no one will be forced to leave, mandatory evacuation orders are expected to begin Tuesday.

“What it means is, we’re not going to come help you. If you don’t do it, you’re on your own,” Gualtieri said.

Zones to be evacuated include all along Tampa Bay and the rivers that feed it. St. Petersburg Mayor Ken Welch urged residents not to ignore any evacuation orders.

“This is a very real threat that this storm poses to our community,” Welch said.

The hurricane center has advised Floridians to have survival plans in place and monitor updates of the storm’s evolving path.